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How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in October?

Mercados

  • Below 4.64%

    • Yes49%
    • No51%

    Volumen $410.5 · Liquidez $189.7

  • Below 4.45%

    • Yes22%
    • No79%

    Volumen $195 · Liquidez $248.3

  • Below 4.67%

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volumen $182 · Liquidez $143.6

  • Below 4.73%

    • Yes73%
    • No28%

    Volumen $160 · Liquidez $425.7

  • Below 4.40%

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volumen $145.6 · Liquidez $389.4

  • Below 4.70%

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volumen $140 · Liquidez $244.1

  • Below 4.50%

    • Yes49%
    • No51%

    Volumen $122 · Liquidez $45.4

  • Below 4.55%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $101 · Liquidez $87.1

  • Below 4.60%

    • Yes32%
    • No69%

    Volumen $50 · Liquidez $289.2

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see:

Cómo leer estas probabilidades

Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.

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