Mercados de predicción de Economía
Tasas de interés, inflación, empleo y eventos macroeconómicos.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 88%
Vol. 24h $1.8M · Cierra 29 oct 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↓ $95: 74%
Vol. 24h $166.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 15, 2026: 76%
Vol. 24h $124K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 79%
Vol. 24h $78.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 76%
Vol. 24h $73.4K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 88%
Vol. 24h $62.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 97%
Vol. 24h $35.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 94%
Vol. 24h $25.4K · Cierra 5 nov 2026
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 85%
Vol. 24h $23.9K · Cierra 5 ene 2027
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+: 45%
Vol. 24h $23.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 2027: 24%
Vol. 24h $16.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.75–$2.0T: 26%
Vol. 24h $16.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX: 64%
Vol. 24h $15.6K · Cierra 2 ene 2027
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
↑ $770: 92%
Vol. 24h $15.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
November 2026: 66%
Vol. 24h $13.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in October 2026?
↓ $172: 83%
Vol. 24h $12.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth?
3% to 4%: 45%
Vol. 24h $11.9K · Cierra 24 nov 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 67%
Vol. 24h $11.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
4.3-4.6%: 100%
Vol. 24h $10.5K · Cierra 21 oct 2026
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
No: 90%
Vol. 24h $10K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$1.50–$1.75T: 42%
Vol. 24h $8.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in October 2026?
↑ $152: 93%
Vol. 24h $8.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.20%: 38%
Vol. 24h $8K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?
Up: 87%
Vol. 24h $7.7K · Cierra 19 oct 2026
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 76%
Vol. 24h $7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 37%
Vol. 24h $6.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 96%
Vol. 24h $6.4K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↑ $765: 96%
Vol. 24h $5.7K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 59%
Vol. 24h $5.4K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in October 2026?
↑ $720: 91%
Vol. 24h $5.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in October 2026?
↑ $216: 78%
Vol. 24h $5.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
↑ $4,200: 90%
Vol. 24h $5.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
↑ $58: 91%
Vol. 24h $5.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $4.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 63%
Vol. 24h $4.8K · Cierra 28 ene 2027
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 53%
Vol. 24h $3.7K · Cierra 27 ene 2027
October Inflation US - Annual
3.7%: 81%
Vol. 24h $3.6K · Cierra 11 nov 2026
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 97%
Vol. 24h $3.3K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
No Change: 62%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 9 dic 2026
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.7%: 30%
Vol. 24h $3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.50%: 30%
Vol. 24h $2.8K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Will gas hit __ by end of October?
↓ $4.20: 43%
Vol. 24h $2.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
No: 89%
Vol. 24h $2.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 79%
Vol. 24h $2.2K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
2.5 - 3.0M: 28%
Vol. 24h $2.1K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change: 92%
Vol. 24h $1.7K · Cierra 24 oct 2026
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.10%: 57%
Vol. 24h $1.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 47%
Vol. 24h $1.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026