Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
Mercados
December 31, 2026
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volumen $279.4K · Liquidez $36.2K
December 31, 2027
- Yes13%
- No88%
Volumen $87.6K · Liquidez $25.5K
December 31, 2028
- Yes39%
- No62%
Volumen $58K · Liquidez $13.2K
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI. A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Cultura

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
November 30, 2026: 82%
Vol. 24h $2.2K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
October 31: 48%
Vol. 24h $63.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Miles Morales live-action film actor?
Actor T: 50%
Vol. 24h $2.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2028

Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
The Black Ball: 76%
Vol. 24h $2.5K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

TIME Person of the Year 2026
Zohran Mamdani: 30%
Vol. 24h $2.3K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?
Ezra Frech: 46%
Vol. 24h $2.7K · Cierra 1 abr 2027

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
No: 54%
Vol. 24h $15.4K · Cierra 1 feb 2027

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 62%
Vol. 24h $2.8K · Cierra 1 feb 2027

Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 96%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 8 ene 2027

Will Drake release a new album by...?
December 31: 27%
Vol. 24h $6.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 42%
Vol. 24h $18.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
Vol. 24h $17.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

