TIME Person of the Year 2026
Mercados
Zohran Mamdani
- Yes30%
- No71%
Volumen $28.5K · Liquidez $28.1K
Pope Leo XIV
- Yes11%
- No90%
Volumen $22K · Liquidez $21.2K
Donald Trump
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volumen $11.4K · Liquidez $23K
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $9.1K · Liquidez $25.3K
Mark Carney
- Yes22%
- No79%
Volumen $5.2K · Liquidez $3.2K
Artificial Intelligence
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $5.2K · Liquidez $23.3K
Dario Amodei
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volumen $3.2K · Liquidez $18.2K
Elon Musk
- Yes5%
- No96%
Volumen $2.9K · Liquidez $39.1K
Benjamin Netanyahu
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volumen $1.8K · Liquidez $19.6K
Marco Rubio
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volumen $712.6 · Liquidez $20.1K
Mojtaba Khamenei
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $319 · Liquidez $842.7
Sam Altman
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $291.1 · Liquidez $24.1K
Jerome Powell
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volumen $289.4 · Liquidez $15.7K
Bad Bunny
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $247.9 · Liquidez $23.2K
Péter Magyar
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $239.4 · Liquidez $21.6K
Christina Koch
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volumen $174.6 · Liquidez $19.9K
Jeremy Hansen
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volumen $165.6 · Liquidez $20.8K
Shehbaz Sharif
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volumen $149.7 · Liquidez $21.4K
ChatGPT
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $146.1 · Liquidez $26.9K
Taylor Swift
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $133.6 · Liquidez $19.1K
Victor Glover
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volumen $122 · Liquidez $21.3K
Reid Wiseman
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volumen $118.3 · Liquidez $19.2K
James Talarico
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $90.4 · Liquidez $21.3K
Alysa Liu
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volumen $79.4 · Liquidez $20.2K
Ali Khamenei
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volumen $57.2 · Liquidez $4K
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Cultura

Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
The Black Ball: 76%
Vol. 24h $2.5K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
November 30, 2026: 82%
Vol. 24h $2.2K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?
Ezra Frech: 46%
Vol. 24h $2.7K · Cierra 1 abr 2027

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
No: 54%
Vol. 24h $15.4K · Cierra 1 feb 2027

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 62%
Vol. 24h $2.8K · Cierra 1 feb 2027

Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 96%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 8 ene 2027

Will Drake release a new album by...?
December 31: 27%
Vol. 24h $6.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
October 31: 48%
Vol. 24h $63.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 42%
Vol. 24h $18.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
Vol. 24h $17.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
December 31, 2027: 21%
Vol. 24h $7.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Big Brother Season 28: 3rd Place
Rick Devens: 50%
Vol. 24h $7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

