World Prediction Markets
Geopolitics and global events.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?
2-4%: 49%
24h vol $19.3K · Ends Oct 4, 2026
Quebec General Election Winner
PQ: 95%
24h vol $19.1K · Ends Oct 6, 2026
Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)
Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri: 94%
24h vol $13K · Ends Jul 31, 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 70%
24h vol $12.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
No: 96%
24h vol $11.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $10.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
No: 100%
24h vol $9.7K · Ends Oct 1, 2026
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?
39%+: 88%
24h vol $9.7K · Ends Oct 4, 2026
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Japan: 17%
24h vol $9.3K · Ends Jan 2, 2027
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on...?
October 5: 14%
24h vol $7.7K · Ends Oct 5, 2026
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 98%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends Oct 5, 2026
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
5.00-5.49%: 45%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 94%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?
October 15: 34%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?
UAE: 38%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 31: 13%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 78%
24h vol $4K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
US x China Military clash before 2027?
No: 98%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 94%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027