Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
Markets
December 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $764.8K · Liquidity —
March 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $696.1K · Liquidity —
December 31
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $544.5K · Liquidity $30.2K
June 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $354.8K · Liquidity —
April 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $198.6K · Liquidity —
November 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $142.1K · Liquidity —
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $134K · Liquidity —
May 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $105.2K · Liquidity —
February 28
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $86.1K · Liquidity —
January 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $72K · Liquidity —
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Lyman railroad station located on Vulytsya Pryvokzalʹna between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map ( by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain - Assessed Russian Advances Shading under the following layers will not qualify: - Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas - Claimed Russian Territory Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Train Station Location: Train Station Location in Lyman: Lyman Location: Location on Google Maps: The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap ( may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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