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Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Markets

  • JD Vance

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $147K · Liquidity $13.5K

  • Donald Trump

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $109.1K · Liquidity $9.2K

  • Friedrich Merz

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $85.2K · Liquidity —

  • António Costa

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $38.6K · Liquidity —

  • Jared Kushner

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $31.5K · Liquidity —

  • Keith Kellogg

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $27.4K · Liquidity $0

  • Steve Witkoff

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $23.5K · Liquidity —

  • Andy Burnham

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $17.3K · Liquidity —

  • Donald Tusk

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $17.1K · Liquidity —

  • Mark Carney

    • Yes14%
    • No87%

    Volume $13.5K · Liquidity $14.6K

  • Mark Rutte

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $11.4K · Liquidity $12.8K

  • Ursula von der Leyen

    • Yes35%
    • No66%

    Volume $11.3K · Liquidity $257.5

  • Emmanuel Macron

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $10K · Liquidity $12.9K

  • António Guterres

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $9.8K · Liquidity $13.1K

  • Maia Sandu

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $7.7K · Liquidity —

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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