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Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Markets

  • Reservists and New Economic Party

    • Yes37%
    • No64%

    Volume $8.1K · Liquidity $558

  • Amcha Yisrael

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $7.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • RZP-Zehut

    • Yes92%
    • No9%

    Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $12.6K

  • Blue & White

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $17.1K

  • Ra'am

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $16.9K

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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