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Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Markets

  • Venezuela

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $373K · Liquidity $23.9K

  • Lebanon

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume $120.1K · Liquidity $26.6K

  • Saudi Arabia

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $79.9K · Liquidity $24.6K

  • Qatar

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $39.3K · Liquidity $26.1K

  • Indonesia

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $25.8K · Liquidity $31.8K

  • Kuwait

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $25.1K · Liquidity $29.5K

  • Syria

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $22.5K · Liquidity $23K

  • North Korea

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $21.8K · Liquidity $31.5K

  • Afghanistan

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $21.4K · Liquidity $30.3K

  • Tunisia

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $20.6K · Liquidity $29.9K

  • Iran

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $18.3K · Liquidity $27.9K

  • Bangladesh

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $17.2K · Liquidity $31.3K

  • Cuba

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $16K · Liquidity $40.5K

  • Iraq

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $15.4K · Liquidity $26.6K

  • Malaysia

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $15K · Liquidity $33K

  • Pakistan

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $10.2K · Liquidity $26.2K

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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