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Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner

Markets

  • Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $310

  • Mounu Uaisele

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $601.8

  • Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $11K

  • Alvin Lafu Sika

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $785.9 · Liquidity $49

  • Lei Paasi

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $655.7 · Liquidity $112.8

  • Sione Harvard Tupouniua

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $631.8 · Liquidity $10.8K

  • 'Olioni Manoa

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $573.3 · Liquidity $10.9K

  • 'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $554.1 · Liquidity $98.8

  • Samiuela Vea

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $404.8 · Liquidity $10.9K

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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