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Macron out by...?

Markets

  • December 31, 2025

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.4M · Liquidity —

  • June 30, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $476.2K · Liquidity —

  • October 31, 2025

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $205.6K · Liquidity —

  • July 31, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $60.8K · Liquidity —

  • December 31, 2026

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $35.4K · Liquidity $33.5K

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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