Grok Bot on the free plan by...?
Markets
October 31
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $403.1
December 31
- Yes24%
- No76%
Volume $485.8 · Liquidity $680.2
Resolution rules
On September 8, 2026, Meta launched Muse, a personal AI agent that runs on a cloud computer dedicated to each user, and made it free to use, including the cloud computer. SpaceXAI's similar product, Grok Bot, launched on August 11, 2026, is available only on paid SuperGrok and Cursor plans. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI makes Grok Bot available for use without requiring a paid subscription or other paid entitlement by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Free access subject to usage limits will qualify. Access through a free trial or promotional offer of a paid plan will not qualify. Free access must be launched and publicly accessible through an official distribution channel, including via open beta or a gradual rollout to users without a paid subscription or other paid entitlement. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to certain countries will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Tech markets

Who will be Trump's AI "czar" in 2026?
Jay Clayton: 75%
24h vol $11.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?
Company A: 50%
24h vol $5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)
Company M: 50%
24h vol $5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
12-15: 53%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No: 84%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 76%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+: 88%
24h vol $3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
OpenAI: 16%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
↑ $55: 44%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?
No: 88%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 95%
24h vol $31.4K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 99%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

