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Who will be Trump's AI "czar" in 2026?

Markets

  • Jay Clayton

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $968.4

  • Michael Kratsios

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $675 · Liquidity $456.9

  • Sriram Krishnan

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $384 · Liquidity $209

  • Sean Cairncross

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $363 · Liquidity $259.9

  • No Czar by December 31

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $274.4 · Liquidity $604.4

  • Chamath Palihapitiya

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $274.2 · Liquidity $182.5

  • Scott Kupor

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $250.5 · Liquidity $160

  • Emil Michael

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $194.4 · Liquidity $195.3

  • Person B

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person C

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be AI czar. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to appoint a specific individual as AI czar will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal appointment actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the AI czar or future AI czar. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. An announcement will qualify regardless of the name used to refer to AI, including "super intelligence" (SI). However, the person must be announced as the "czar" or a derivative thereof. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for AI czar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Czar by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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