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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?

Markets

  • Capital One Mobile

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $461.4

  • Muse from Meta

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $752.7 · Liquidity $82.1

  • Google Gemini

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $27.2 · Liquidity $265

  • Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace

    • Yes14%
    • No87%

    Volume $6.8 · Liquidity $102.6

  • TikTok Pro - Events

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $6.8 · Liquidity $85.1

  • ChatGPT

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $6.8 · Liquidity $91

  • Reserved app 4

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Reserved app 5

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Reserved app 1

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Reserved app 2

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Reserved app 3

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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