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Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Markets

  • Ahmed al-Sharaa

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $52.7K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Xi Jinping

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $3.3K

  • Masoud Pezeshkian

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $729.9

  • Mark Carney

    • Yes62%
    • No39%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $326.4

  • Maria Corina Machado

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Mohammed bin Salman

    • Yes68%
    • No33%

    Volume $676.7 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Andy Burnham

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $623.1 · Liquidity $260.9

  • Miguel Díaz-Canel

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $574 · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Lula da Silva

    • Yes23%
    • No78%

    Volume $529.9 · Liquidity $861.6

  • Mojtaba Khamenei

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $470.7 · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Kim Jong Un

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $443.7 · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Elon Musk

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $338 · Liquidity $369.9

  • Vladimir Putin

    • Yes53%
    • No48%

    Volume $335 · Liquidity $219.5

  • Nicolás Maduro

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $289.4 · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Pope Leo XIV

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $289 · Liquidity $261.9

  • Mark Rutte

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $220 · Liquidity $650.4

  • Yoon Suk Yeol

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $206.4 · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    • Yes59%
    • No42%

    Volume $203.8 · Liquidity $695

  • Reza Pahlavi

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $166.3 · Liquidity $887.7

  • Emmanuel Macron

    • Yes62%
    • No39%

    Volume $114.7 · Liquidity $450.8

  • Ursula von der Leyen

    • Yes42%
    • No59%

    Volume $40 · Liquidity $867.4

  • Friedrich Merz

    • Yes69%
    • No32%

    Volume $40 · Liquidity $30.8

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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