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Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

Markets

  • The Democrats

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $5.8K · Liquidity $26.2K

  • Otzma Yehudit

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $4.7K

  • Together

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $26.6K

  • Yisrael Beiteinu

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $15.2K

  • Shas

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $14.5K

  • Joint List

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $4K

  • RZP-Zehut

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $15.4K

  • United Torah Judaism

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $15.2K

  • Amcha Yisrael

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $12.8K

  • Blue and White

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $984.6 · Liquidity $11.1K

  • Noam

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $858.8 · Liquidity $12.8K

  • Yashar

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $691.7 · Liquidity $14.9K

  • The Reservists and the Economic Party

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $621.6 · Liquidity $15K

  • Ra'am

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $569.6 · Liquidity $12.8K

  • Likud

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $448 · Liquidity $12.8K

  • Party C

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party A

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party B

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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