French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place
Markets
Ségolène Royal
- Yes24%
- No76%
Volume $6K · Liquidity $11.8K
Raphaël Glucksmann
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $3K · Liquidity $13.9K
Olivier Faure
- Yes70%
- No31%
Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $1.1K
Emmanuel Maurel
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $892.2 · Liquidity $1.8K
Philippe Brun
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $614.6 · Liquidity $13.4K
Jérôme Guedj
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $523 · Liquidity $13.3K
Candidate L
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate W
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate G
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate C
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate D
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate E
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate F
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate H
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate I
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate J
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate K
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate M
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate N
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate O
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate P
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate Q
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate R
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate S
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate U
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate V
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate X
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate Y
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate Z
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate T
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate A
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate B
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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