Skip to content
ThePolyAcademy
ES

California Governor Election Winner

Markets

  • Tom Steyer

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $4.8M · Liquidity $117.6K

  • Steve Hilton

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $3.1M · Liquidity $335.1K

  • Xavier Becerra

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $2.1M · Liquidity $66.5K

  • Alex Padilla

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2M · Liquidity $360.5K

  • Chad Bianco

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.9M · Liquidity $102.5K

  • Kyle Langford

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.8M · Liquidity $354.6K

  • Rick Caruso

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.8M · Liquidity $382.1K

  • Nicole Shanahan

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.8M · Liquidity $333.6K

  • Katie Porter

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.8M · Liquidity $318.2K

  • Betty Yee

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.7M · Liquidity $367.8K

  • Antonio Villaraigosa

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.6M · Liquidity $315.6K

  • Stephen Cloobeck

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.6M · Liquidity $337.5K

  • Kamala Harris

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.6M · Liquidity $315.6K

  • Toni Atkins

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.6M · Liquidity $355.8K

  • Michael Younger

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.5M · Liquidity $349.1K

  • Eric Swalwell

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.5M · Liquidity $326.1K

  • Eleni Kounalakis

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.4M · Liquidity $362.4K

  • Tony Thurmond

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.4M · Liquidity $316.6K

  • Daniel Mercuri

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.4M · Liquidity $341.5K

  • Matt Mahan

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.4M · Liquidity $133.5K

  • Butch Ware

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.3M · Liquidity $356.2K

  • Elaine Culotti

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.3M · Liquidity $372.7K

  • Leo Zacky

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.1M · Liquidity $372K

  • Option F

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option G

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option H

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option I

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option J

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option K

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option L

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option M

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option N

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option O

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option P

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option Q

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option R

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option S

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option T

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option U

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option V

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option W

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option X

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option Y

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Option Z

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets