Economy Prediction Markets

Interest rates, inflation, jobs data and macro events.

Data from Polymarket, updated ….

Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.

US recession by end of 2026?
No: 92%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1-2%: 75%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends Feb 13, 2027
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
25 bps increase: 71%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 85%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends Nov 5, 2026
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
No: 88%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
GDP growth in 2026
2.0–2.5%: 51%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends Jan 29, 2027
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
No: 79%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends Sep 30, 2026
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%: 17%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
3rd Largest Company end of September?
Alphabet: 98%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Oct 1, 2026
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
No Change: 47%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Dec 9, 2026