Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Markets
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- Anthropic96%
- OpenAI4%
Volume $411.2K · Liquidity $50.9K
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$2.0–$2.25T: 32%
24h vol $34.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

In which month will Anthropic IPO?
November 2026: 64%
24h vol $17.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
$2.5T+: 22%
24h vol $16.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+: 51%
24h vol $11.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 93%
24h vol $49.9K · Ends Jan 5, 2027

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Anthropic: 48%
24h vol $151.5K · Ends Jan 2, 2027

Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 83%
24h vol $139K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026: 95%
24h vol $21.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

IPOs before 2027?
Anthropic: 82%
24h vol $12.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
↓$875B: 0%
24h vol $14.9K · Ends Oct 1, 2026

Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 60%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Jan 29, 2028

2026 World GDP Growth
≤2.9%: 55%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends May 1, 2027

