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What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?

Markets

  • $510K+

    • Yes19%
    • No82%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $117.6

  • $471K - $484K

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $325.4 · Liquidity $187.2

  • $458K - $471K

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $262.2 · Liquidity $102.8

  • $497K - $510K

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $229 · Liquidity $100.1

  • <$445K

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $178 · Liquidity $174.4

  • $445K - $458K

    • Yes21%
    • No80%

    Volume $168 · Liquidity $97.9

  • $484K - $497K

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $131 · Liquidity $100.2

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see:

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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