Economy Prediction Markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs data and macro events.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 93%
24h vol $9M · Ends Oct 29, 2026
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 94%
24h vol $369.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↓ $100: 81%
24h vol $339.5K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.75–$2.0T: 32%
24h vol $127.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 75%
24h vol $83.9K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 96%
24h vol $51.6K · Ends Jan 5, 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 89%
24h vol $45.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
November 2026: 86%
24h vol $43.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 91%
24h vol $41.8K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?
↑ $100: 93%
24h vol $41.8K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
<$1T: 30%
24h vol $40.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $38.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of October 26 2026?
↓ $315: 85%
24h vol $33.9K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 26?
$96: 100%
24h vol $32.7K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
↓ $4,000: 81%
24h vol $26.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$1.50–$1.75T: 41%
24h vol $26K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
US recession by end of 2026?
No: 93%
24h vol $23.1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
What will Apple (AAPL) hit in November 2026?
↑ $392: 51%
24h vol $22.8K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 26 2026?
↓ $248: 100%
24h vol $22.7K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No: 94%
24h vol $20.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.25%: 80%
24h vol $20.4K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 63%
24h vol $19K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bank of Brazil decision in November?
No Change: 64%
24h vol $18.6K · Ends Nov 4, 2026
Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 2027: 28%
24h vol $18.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bank of Brazil decision in December?
No Change: 52%
24h vol $15.5K · Ends Dec 9, 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 26 2026?
↓ $100: 79%
24h vol $15K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in November 2026?
↓ $320: 50%
24h vol $14.2K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 88%
24h vol $13.9K · Ends Nov 5, 2026
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of October 26 2026?
↑ $540: 76%
24h vol $13.5K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in October 2026?
↑ $320: 84%
24h vol $13.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in November 2026?
↓ $240: 54%
24h vol $11.4K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
October Inflation US - Annual
3.7%: 92%
24h vol $11.3K · Ends Nov 11, 2026
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
↓ $52: 43%
24h vol $11.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in November 2026?
↓ $640: 91%
24h vol $11K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.70%: 72%
24h vol $10.9K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
IPOs before 2027?
Anthropic: 94%
24h vol $10.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
↑ $4,500: 50%
24h vol $10.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 74%
24h vol $9K · Ends Dec 9, 2026
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 91%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026
46.0 to 48.9: 43%
24h vol $6.6K · Ends Nov 20, 2026
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.80%: 100%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 77%
24h vol $6K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
5.50-5.99%: 40%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October
No change: 49%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Central Bank of Colombia decision in December
No change: 70%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Dec 18, 2026
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.40%: 81%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 97%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
October Unemployment Rate
4.2%: 42%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends Nov 6, 2026