S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 30?
Markets
Resolution rules
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 30?
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 64%
24h vol $1.5M · Ends Oct 29, 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
No: 100%
24h vol $159.6K · Ends Oct 1, 2026
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 75%
24h vol $108.6K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↑ $95: 81%
24h vol $107.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 97%
24h vol $103.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 80%
24h vol $69K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?
Down: 100%
24h vol $68.6K · Ends Sep 30, 2026
Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIA: 100%
24h vol $63.4K · Ends Oct 1, 2026
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 76%
24h vol $57.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?
Down: 100%
24h vol $51.4K · Ends Sep 30, 2026
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on September 30?
$90: 100%
24h vol $50.7K · Ends Sep 30, 2026
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 94%
24h vol $49.8K · Ends Jan 5, 2027