Economy Prediction Markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs data and macro events.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 85%
24h vol $2.8M · Ends Oct 29, 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↑ $100: 79%
24h vol $171.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 78%
24h vol $161.8K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 78%
24h vol $144.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 88%
24h vol $136.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
25 bps increase: 84%
24h vol $113.8K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 91%
24h vol $56.8K · Ends Jan 5, 2027
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.75–$2.0T: 26%
24h vol $51.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 65%
24h vol $45.3K · Ends Jan 28, 2027
Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change: 85%
24h vol $39K · Ends Oct 24, 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 89%
24h vol $37.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 95%
24h vol $23.8K · Ends Nov 5, 2026
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 97%
24h vol $23.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↑ $375: 72%
24h vol $19.4K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
↓ $4,100: 84%
24h vol $18K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 69%
24h vol $15.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4%: 68%
24h vol $14.2K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No: 93%
24h vol $14K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↓ $765: 81%
24h vol $13.8K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth?
3% to 4%: 46%
24h vol $13.8K · Ends Nov 24, 2026
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↑ $710: 96%
24h vol $13.7K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↓ $3.00: 89%
24h vol $10.4K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↑ $70: 75%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
IPOs before 2027?
Anthropic: 76%
24h vol $10.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
<$1T: 22%
24h vol $10K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 96%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 81%
24h vol $9.3K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
↓ $760: 64%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↑ $344: 88%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↓ $216: 81%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in October 2026?
↑ $160: 87%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↓ $4,100: 67%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↓ $95: 78%
24h vol $8.5K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 2027: 24%
24h vol $8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↓ $57: 100%
24h vol $8K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+: 40%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↑ $100: 73%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in October 2026?
↓ $700: 97%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↑ $172.50: 77%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
↓ $56: 76%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↑ $159: 81%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
No Change: 52%
24h vol $6.2K · Ends Dec 9, 2026
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%: 96%
24h vol $6.1K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on December 31?
$323K - $327K: 26%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends Jan 11, 2027
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%: 14%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 83%
24h vol $4.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.6-2.7M: 36%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 80%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026