Bank of England decision in December?
Markets
No change
- Yes53%
- No48%
Volume $1K · Liquidity $1.7K
25 bps decrease
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $180 · Liquidity $451.6
25 bps increase
- Yes26%
- No74%
Volume $171 · Liquidity $869.8
50+ bps increase
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $146.8 · Liquidity $543.6
50+ bps decrease
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $20 · Liquidity $655
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for December 17, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar ( This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets

Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 93%
24h vol $3K · Ends Nov 5, 2026

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 79%
24h vol $78.6K · Ends Dec 10, 2026

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 81%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
No: 67%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
0.6–0.7%: 45%
24h vol $2K · Ends Nov 13, 2026

October Inflation US - Annual
3.7%: 69%
24h vol $8.5K · Ends Nov 11, 2026

October Inflation US - Monthly
0.3%: 33%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends Nov 11, 2026

Core CPI YoY - October 2026
2.6%: 67%
24h vol $3K · Ends Nov 11, 2026

Core CPI MoM - October 2026
0.3%: 40%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends Nov 11, 2026

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 57%
24h vol $21.4K · Ends Jan 28, 2027

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 79%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Nov 5, 2026

Bank of Brazil decision in November?
25 bps decrease: 84%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Nov 4, 2026

