Culture Prediction Markets
Awards, entertainment and pop-culture moments.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 4%
24h vol $381.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?
240-259: 28%
24h vol $329.1K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 12 - October 14, 2026?
65-89: 71%
24h vol $162K · Ends Oct 14, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
220-239: 17%
24h vol $75.9K · Ends Oct 20, 2026
# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?
55M+: 49%
24h vol $32.8K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $23.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?
Pipeline: 98%
24h vol $22.1K · Ends Oct 13, 2026
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No: 69%
24h vol $19.9K · Ends Aug 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+: 89%
24h vol $19.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
200-219: 17%
24h vol $16.2K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
# of views of MrBeast gaming video on day 3?
38.5-40M: 100%
24h vol $16.2K · Ends Oct 14, 2026
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 96%
24h vol $15K · Ends Jan 8, 2027
Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 24
The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore: 96%
24h vol $12.1K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
"Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office
25-30m: 43%
24h vol $11.3K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 37%
24h vol $11.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 2?
270-280M: 63%
24h vol $10.7K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 15 - October 17, 2026?
40-64: 44%
24h vol $10.1K · Ends Oct 17, 2026
#1 Spotify song this week? (October 16)
BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky: 97%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends Oct 17, 2026
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey: 84%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
The Odyssey: 56%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 95%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 16)
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley: 99%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Oct 17, 2026
"Wildwood" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
85+: 97%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
No: 57%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
# of views of MrBeast gaming video on day 4?
43-44M: 63%
24h vol $5K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
Jon Ossoff: 97%
24h vol $5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
"You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office
7m+: 57%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
"Godzilla Minus Zero" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
70+: 99%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends Nov 9, 2026
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 89%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 72%
24h vol $4.4K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?
Yes: 55%
24h vol $4.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?
December 31: 87%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Grammys 2027: Best Rap Album Winner
Placeholder l - TBD Artist: 50%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Actor D: 50%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026
Lindsay Clancy: 80%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (October 12)
People 100+ times: 100%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Oct 19, 2026
Top Spotify Artist 2026
Bad Bunny: 87%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
TIME Person of the Year 2026
Zohran Mamdani: 28%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Person 7: 50%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Which artists will release new albums in 2026?
Travis Scott: 50%
24h vol $3K · Ends Jan 2, 2027
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
October 17: 98%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
#1 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 16)
Song 3: 50%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Oct 17, 2026
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?
Dolly Parton: 54%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 59%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
Dolly Parton: 62%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?
Flávio Bolsonaro: 84%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Will Jack Doherty post again on X by...?
April 30: 95%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends May 1, 2027
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
35-40M: 29%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Dec 1, 2026