Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο
June 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.5M · Liquidity —
July 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.2M · Liquidity —
May 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.5M · Liquidity —
August 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $669.3K · Liquidity —
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $295.1K · Liquidity —
December 31
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $276.2K · Liquidity $49.3K
April 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $75K · Liquidity —
December 31, 2027
- Yes33%
- No67%
Volume $64.8K · Liquidity $31.5K
June 30, 2027
- Yes21%
- No80%
Volume $8.1K · Liquidity $13.8K
March 31, 2027
- Yes14%
- No87%
Volume $3K · Liquidity $12.8K
Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες
Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.
Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα
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