Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο
Anthropic
- Yes99%
- No2%
Volume $18.2K · Liquidity $339.1
OpenAI
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $7.1K · Liquidity $1.1K
Google
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $1.2K
Meta
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.2K
Moonshot
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $948.6 · Liquidity $1.1K
DeepSeek
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $891.9 · Liquidity $828.6
Amazon
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $888.1 · Liquidity $1K
Xiaomi
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $869.3 · Liquidity $1.2K
Nvidia
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $851.5 · Liquidity $1.3K
Tencent
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $775.2 · Liquidity $1.1K
Baidu
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $750 · Liquidity $1.2K
ByteDance
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $613.4 · Liquidity $1.1K
Thinky
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $586.3 · Liquidity $1K
Alibaba
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $551.9 · Liquidity $880.6
SpaceXAI
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $512.8 · Liquidity $1.2K
StepFun
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $509.5 · Liquidity $1.2K
Mistral
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $495.4 · Liquidity $995.6
MiniMax
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $482.4 · Liquidity $1K
Microsoft
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $477.4 · Liquidity $908.9
Z.ai
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $445.7 · Liquidity $1.1K
Meituan
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $441 · Liquidity $864.2
Company A
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company C
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company D
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company E
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company F
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company G
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company H
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company I
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company K
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company B
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες
Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.
Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα
Περισσότερες αγορές για Τεχνολογία

Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 71%
24h vol $93.1K · Ends 31 Οκτ 2026

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
Anthropic: 51%
24h vol $10K · Ends 31 Οκτ 2026

Second-best AI Lab end of October?
Anthropic: 62%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends 31 Οκτ 2026

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Xiaomi: 58%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends 31 Οκτ 2026

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
OpenAI: 60%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends 31 Οκτ 2026

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 90%
24h vol $8K · Ends 31 Οκτ 2026

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by October 31: 90%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends 31 Οκτ 2026

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
October 13: 19%
24h vol $17K · Ends 1 Νοε 2026

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
November 30: 37%
24h vol $7.4K · Ends 1 Νοε 2026

OpenAI resumes training by...?
October 31: 52%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 1 Νοε 2026

Best AI model on October 26?
gemini-4-argon-high: 71%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends 27 Οκτ 2026

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
DeepSeek: 94%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 20 Οκτ 2026

