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Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο

  • No release by October 31

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $68.7K · Liquidity $6.9K

  • October 11

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $0

  • October 8

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity —

  • October 9

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity —

  • October 4

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity —

  • October 10

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $0

  • October 6

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity —

  • On or prior to October 1

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity —

  • October 13

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • October 30

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • October 7

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity —

  • October 27

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • October 26

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • October 17

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • October 31

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • October 23

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $3K

  • October 25

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $984.7 · Liquidity $3K

  • October 28

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $860.1 · Liquidity $1.7K

  • October 20

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $831.9 · Liquidity $3.4K

  • October 15

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $798.3 · Liquidity $1.3K

  • October 14

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $760.1 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • October 21

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $711.1 · Liquidity $2.4K

  • October 12

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $693.5 · Liquidity $0

  • October 29

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $691.6 · Liquidity $2.1K

  • October 22

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $555.2 · Liquidity $3.2K

  • October 16

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $499.6 · Liquidity $1.6K

  • October 5

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $459.1 · Liquidity $0

  • October 18

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $456.1 · Liquidity $2.2K

  • October 3

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $430.4 · Liquidity —

  • October 24

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $378.4 · Liquidity $1.7K

  • October 19

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $283.4 · Liquidity $2.1K

  • October 2

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $252.4 · Liquidity —

Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες

Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.

Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα

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