Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο
Denver, CO
- Yes90%
- No10%
Volume $10.8K · Liquidity $2.3K
San Diego, CA
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $9K · Liquidity —
Las Vegas, NV
- Yes81%
- No19%
Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $809.8
Sacramento, CA
- Yes19%
- No82%
Volume $6.8K · Liquidity $519.6
Tampa, FL
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $5.2K · Liquidity —
Boston, MA
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $1K
Philadelphia, PA
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $211.9
Detroit, MI
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $554.3
Portland, OR
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $395.5
Minneapolis, MN
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $220.6
New York, NY
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $2.1K
Washington, DC
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $301.6
New Orleans, LA
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $5.8K
Seattle, WA
- Yes12%
- No89%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $857.7
Pittsburgh, PA
- Yes10%
- No91%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $5.4K
Baltimore, MD
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $754.6
Chicago, IL
- Yes9%
- No92%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $2K
London, UK
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.3K
Charlotte, NC
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $769.2 · Liquidity $248.3
St. Louis, MO
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $535.1 · Liquidity $3.8K
Tokyo, Japan
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $529.4 · Liquidity $4.3K
Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες
Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.
Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα
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