Gemini Argon released by...?
{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο
October 31
- Yes85%
- No15%
Volume $14.4K · Liquidity $4.6K
October 16
- Yes56%
- No44%
Volume $9.2K · Liquidity $1.7K
October 14
- Yes52%
- No49%
Volume $4K · Liquidity $1.2K
November 30
- Yes94%
- No6%
Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $4.9K
October 12
- Yes9%
- No92%
Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $1.3K
October 9
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1K · Liquidity —
Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος
On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model ( with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google releases "Gemini Argon" or a model qualifying under the terms below, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any model whose official name includes "Argon," or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες
Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.
Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα
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