Gemini 4.0 released by...?
{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $644.2K · Liquidity —
October 31
- Yes90%
- No10%
Volume $243.5K · Liquidity $12.4K
October 15
- Yes63%
- No37%
Volume $207.3K · Liquidity $5.3K
June 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $92.2K · Liquidity $0
August 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $61.7K · Liquidity —
November 30
- Yes98%
- No2%
Volume $54K · Liquidity $9K
October 10
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $39.9K · Liquidity —
October 14
- Yes51%
- No50%
Volume $36.4K · Liquidity $1.4K
October 13
- Yes31%
- No70%
Volume $26.2K · Liquidity $1.5K
October 16
- Yes66%
- No34%
Volume $24.8K · Liquidity $3K
July 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $19.1K · Liquidity —
October 12
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $15.5K · Liquidity $5.3K
October 23
- Yes83%
- No18%
Volume $13.4K · Liquidity $6.3K
September 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $10.1K · Liquidity —
October 5
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.3K · Liquidity —
October 9
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.8K · Liquidity —
October 2
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.4K · Liquidity —
Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες
Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.
Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα
Περισσότερες αγορές για Τεχνολογία

Gemini Argon released by...?
November 30: 94%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends 1 Δεκ 2026

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 1: 90%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 1 Νοε 2026

Gemini Argon released on...?
October 13: 39%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 1 Νοε 2026

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 19%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 1 Νοε 2026

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
Anthropic: 90%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 1 Νοε 2026

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
November 30: 34%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 1 Νοε 2026

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Google: 43%
24h vol $20.9K · Ends 31 Δεκ 2026

Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 69%
24h vol $36.1K · Ends 31 Οκτ 2026

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
Google: 68%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 31 Οκτ 2026

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
Company A: 50%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 31 Οκτ 2026

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Other: 50%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 31 Οκτ 2026

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 95%
24h vol $17.8K · Ends 31 Δεκ 2026

