Μετάβαση στο περιεχόμενο

{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο

  • Scott Jennings

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $19.9K · Liquidity $17.8K

  • Anna Kelly

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $17.3K · Liquidity $26.1K

  • Natalie Harp

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $7.2K · Liquidity $53.7K

  • Karoline Leavitt

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $20.9K

  • Katie Miller

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $314.6 · Liquidity $13.7K

  • Margo Martin

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $310.9 · Liquidity $24.4K

  • Taylor Rogers

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $290.8 · Liquidity $14.7K

  • Rachel Campos-Duffy

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $270.9 · Liquidity $18.7K

  • Maria Bartiromo

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $241.9 · Liquidity $24.3K

  • Jake Paul

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $69.9 · Liquidity $16.2K

  • Lauren Bis

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Liz Huston

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Hogan Gidley

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $1K

  • Spencer Pratt

    • Yes18%
    • No83%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Matthew Boyle

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $1K

  • Kaelan Dorr

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $613.3

  • Katie Pavlich

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $1K

  • Tricia McLaughlin

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Harrison Fields

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $468.8

  • Kayleigh McEnany

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Kari Lake

    • Yes22%
    • No79%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $542

  • Kush Desai

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $671.5

  • Monica Crowley

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Pat Adams

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Alina Habba

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Ari Fleischer

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Lara Trump

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Beni Rae Harmony

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Elizabeth Pipko

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $932.9

  • Steven Cheung

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $59.9 · Liquidity $11.7K

  • Laura Loomer

    • Yes19%
    • No82%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Candidate CB

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BH

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BI

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BS

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AK

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AL

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AO

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AQ

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BG

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AH

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BD

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BE

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BF

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BU

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BV

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BC

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BJ

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BO

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BP

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BQ

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BR

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BW

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BX

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BY

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BZ

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate CA

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AI

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AJ

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AM

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AN

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AP

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AR

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AS

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BT

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate CC

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate CD

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate CE

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate CF

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate CG

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate CH

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate CI

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BK

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BL

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BM

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BN

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AA

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AB

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AC

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AD

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AE

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AF

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AG

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AT

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AU

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AV

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AW

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AX

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AY

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AZ

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BA

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate BB

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος

This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Katie Zacharia by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Katie Zacharia, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες

Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.

Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα