Bank of Japan Decision in December?
{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο
25 bps increase
- Yes72%
- No28%
Volume $7.4K · Liquidity $956.9
No change
- Yes26%
- No74%
Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $1.7K
50+ bps increase
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $2.2K
25 bps decrease
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1.9K
50+ bps decrease
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1.8K
Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, scheduled for December 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar ( This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες
Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.
Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα
Περισσότερες αγορές για Οικονομία

Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 96%
24h vol $8K · Ends 30 Οκτ 2026

Bank of England decision in December?
No change: 59%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends 17 Δεκ 2026

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 79%
24h vol $63.5K · Ends 10 Δεκ 2026

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 87%
24h vol $42.2K · Ends 10 Δεκ 2026

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 61%
24h vol $15.3K · Ends 9 Δεκ 2026

US recession by end of 2026?
No: 93%
24h vol $12.3K · Ends 31 Δεκ 2026

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 81%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 31 Δεκ 2026

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 97%
24h vol $78.9K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
No: 68%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 41%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 27 Ιαν 2027

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 57%
24h vol $16.5K · Ends 28 Ιαν 2027

Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 93%
24h vol $3K · Ends 5 Νοε 2026

