Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο
Hike–Hike–Hike
- Yes11%
- No90%
Volume $80.5K · Liquidity $41.1K
Hike–Pause–Pause
- Yes19%
- No82%
Volume $57.7K · Liquidity $38.9K
Hike–Pause–Hike
- Yes66%
- No35%
Volume $54.5K · Liquidity $36K
Hike–Hike–Pause
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $40.3K · Liquidity $38.2K
Other
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $20.1K · Liquidity $40.9K
Pause–Pause–Pause
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $15.6K · Liquidity —
Pause–Hike–Pause
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.7K · Liquidity —
Pause–Pause–Hike
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity —
Pause–Hike–Hike
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2K · Liquidity —
Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες
Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.
Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα
Περισσότερες αγορές για Οικονομία

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 56%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 27 Ιαν 2027

Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 71%
24h vol $26.6K · Ends 10 Δεκ 2026

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 76%
24h vol $53.5K · Ends 10 Δεκ 2026

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 79%
24h vol $13.7K · Ends 10 Δεκ 2026

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 77%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 31 Δεκ 2026

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 78%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 31 Δεκ 2026

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $28.5K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 62%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 1 Νοε 2026

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 69%
24h vol $988.1 · Ends 1 Νοε 2026

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 83%
24h vol $563K · Ends 29 Οκτ 2026

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
25 bps increase: 54%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 28 Οκτ 2026

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 64%
24h vol $41.7K · Ends 28 Ιαν 2027

