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Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten

  • No Next Minister by Feb 28

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $12.9K · Liquidity $39.8K

  • Israel Katz

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $5.8K · Liquidity $16.2K

  • Avigdor Lieberman

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $30.5K

  • Benny Gantz

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $19.4K

  • Elazar Stern

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $8.4K

  • Naftali Bennett

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $25.8K

  • Ofer Winter

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $882.7 · Liquidity $23.6K

  • Yair Golan

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $554.6 · Liquidity $6.6K

  • Bezalel Smotrich

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $543.4 · Liquidity $3.2K

  • Gadi Eizenkot

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $480.8 · Liquidity $16.2K

  • Itamar Ben Gvir

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $374.1 · Liquidity $6.1K

  • Eli Cohen

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $370.5 · Liquidity $15.9K

  • Moshe Feiglin

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $343.9 · Liquidity $11.3K

  • Matan Kahana

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $283.7 · Liquidity $16.2K

  • Yoram Cohen

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $240 · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Benjamin Netanyahu

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $147 · Liquidity $12.1K

  • Amir Ohana

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $147 · Liquidity $11.7K

  • Yair Lapid

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $142.3 · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Person Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Defense in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Defense will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Defense” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Defense are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Defense assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.

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