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DE

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten

  • Marine Le Pen

    • Yes82%
    • No19%

    Volume $447.4 · Liquidity $15K

  • Édouard Philippe

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $273.9 · Liquidity $13.6K

  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $229.9 · Liquidity $554.9

  • Raphaël Glucksmann

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $220.9 · Liquidity $462.8

  • Dominique de Villepin

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $987.1

  • François Hollande

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Bruno Retailleau

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $916.2

  • Éric Zemmour

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $10.7K

  • Jordan Bardella

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $688.6

  • David Lisnard

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $13.5K

  • Gabriel Attal

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $709.5

  • Sarah Knafo

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $849.5

  • François Ruffin

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $948.3

  • Marine Tondelier

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Sébastien Lecornu

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $173.9 · Liquidity $496.5

  • Christine Lagarde

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $153.9 · Liquidity $422.4

  • Candidate A

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate B

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate C

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (

So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.

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