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ThePolyAcademy
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Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten

  • Anthropic

    • Yes85%
    • No16%

    Volume $25.1K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • OpenAI

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $12.2K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Google

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $1K

  • Microsoft

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Meta

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $954.5

  • Mistral

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • SpaceXAI

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Baidu

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • DeepSeek

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • StepFun

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Tencent

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Alibaba

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • ByteDance

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $2K

  • Moonshot

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $986.4 · Liquidity $1K

  • Z.ai

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $858 · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Amazon

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $649 · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Thinky

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $617 · Liquidity $1.5K

  • MiniMax

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $543 · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Nvidia

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $386 · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Meituan

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $283 · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Xiaomi

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $253 · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Company G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company A

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company B

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company C

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.

Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechner · Glossar · Kostenlose Kurse

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