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What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten

  • ≥ 4.5%

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $11.6K

  • 4.0%

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $1.4M · Liquidity $12.1K

  • 3.75%

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $539.8K · Liquidity $11.4K

  • 4.25%

    • Yes49%
    • No51%

    Volume $511.9K · Liquidity $28.9K

  • 3.0%

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $501.1K · Liquidity $46.1K

  • 2.0%

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $270.4K · Liquidity $40.3K

  • ≤1.0%

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $260.4K · Liquidity $21.2K

  • 3.5%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $208.1K · Liquidity $42.5K

  • 2.5%

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $181.3K · Liquidity $34.5K

  • 1.75%

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $154.7K · Liquidity $39.8K

  • 1.25

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $154.6K · Liquidity $36.6K

  • 1.5%

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $152.2K · Liquidity $35.9K

  • 2.25%

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $94.5K · Liquidity $31.2K

  • 3.25%

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $87.6K · Liquidity $48.9K

  • 2.75%

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $70.7K · Liquidity $49.4K

Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (

So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.

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