Next Prime Minister of Spain?
{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Pedro Sánchez
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volume $399.4K · Liquidity $194.6K
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
- Yes81%
- No20%
Volume $374.9K · Liquidity $93.4K
Santiago Abascal
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $238.8K · Liquidity $108.4K
Isabel Díaz Ayuso
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $224.9K · Liquidity $98.8K
Carlos Cuerpo
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $176.2K · Liquidity $127.6K
Yolanda Díaz
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $93.7K · Liquidity $134.6K
Óscar Puente
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $75.5K · Liquidity $77K
Miguel Tellado
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $24K · Liquidity $84.3K
María Jesús Montero
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $20K · Liquidity $92.3K
Carles Puigdemont
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $19.9K · Liquidity $79K
Ester Muñoz
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $17.4K · Liquidity $89.2K
Cuca Gamarra
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $16.9K · Liquidity $79.9K
Borja Sémper
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $16.3K · Liquidity $85.6K
Pepa Millán
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $16.3K · Liquidity $88.4K
Ernest Urtasun
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $16.3K · Liquidity $88.6K
Aitor Esteban
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $14.8K · Liquidity $88.2K
Person P
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person U
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person D
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person J
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person K
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person L
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person M
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person N
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person O
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person V
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AI
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person F
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person G
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person H
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person I
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person W
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person X
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Y
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Z
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AA
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AB
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person E
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AC
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AD
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AE
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AF
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AG
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AH
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AJ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AK
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AL
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AM
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AN
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AO
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AP
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AQ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AR
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Q
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person R
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person S
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person T
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.
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