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New Zealand legislative election winner?

{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten

  • National Party

    • Yes50%
    • No51%

    Volume $31.2K · Liquidity $43.7K

  • Labour Party

    • Yes48%
    • No53%

    Volume $23.8K · Liquidity $46.3K

  • New Zealand First Party

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7.7K · Liquidity $33.9K

  • Green Party

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $6.3K · Liquidity $46.2K

  • Te Pāti Māori

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $6.2K · Liquidity $42.8K

  • ACT New Zealand

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $6.1K · Liquidity $43.1K

  • Party A

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party B

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party P

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party Q

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party X

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party Y

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party K

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party C

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party E

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party F

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party G

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party J

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party L

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party R

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party V

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party W

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party S

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party T

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party U

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party D

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party H

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party I

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party M

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party O

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party Z

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party N

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid part list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (

So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.

Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechner · Glossar · Kostenlose Kurse

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