Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.2M · Liquidity —
August 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.6M · Liquidity —
December 31
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $1.7M · Liquidity $268.8K
April 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.7M · Liquidity —
July 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.4M · Liquidity $0
May 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.3M · Liquidity —
October 31
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $1.2M · Liquidity $211K
June 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.2M · Liquidity —
September 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $831.1K · Liquidity $0
March 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $330.3K · Liquidity —
June 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $221.1K · Liquidity —
June 22
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $129.3K · Liquidity —
Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at , including both the chart and downloadable files.
So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.
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