Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
{name}: liveodds
5-7
- Yes49%
- No51%
Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $1.1K
11-13
- Yes8%
- No93%
Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $1K
<5
- Yes25%
- No75%
Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $827
8-10
- Yes21%
- No79%
Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.2K
14+
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $420.6 · Liquidity $731.5
Regler for afgørelse
This market will resolve according to the number of days in October 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component ( displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (
Sådan læser du disse odds
Hver pris ligger mellem 0 og 1 dollar og kan læses som den sandsynlighed, markedet tillægger et udfald: 0,62 dollar svarer til cirka 62 %. Priserne ændrer sig med hver handel, så de afspejler markedsdeltagernes samlede vurdering – ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du tjekke reglerne for afgørelse ovenfor, handelsvolumen og likviditeten. Risikér kun penge, du har råd til at tabe.
Flere markeder om Tech

Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 82%
24h vol $39.3K · Ends 1. nov. 2026

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
October 20: 28%
24h vol $17.3K · Ends 1. nov. 2026

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 74%
24h vol $14.1K · Ends 1. nov. 2026

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$5.50+: 65%
24h vol $2K · Ends 1. nov. 2026

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 96%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 31. okt. 2026

Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 70%
24h vol $121.6K · Ends 31. okt. 2026

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
Company C: 50%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 31. okt. 2026

Meta headcount above __ in Q3?
66000: 86%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 21. okt. 2026

OpenAI resumes training on...?
Not resumed by October 20: 83%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends 21. okt. 2026

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
OpenAI: 60%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 20. okt. 2026

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
Google: 56%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends 20. okt. 2026

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?
Muse from Meta: 97%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 16. okt. 2026

