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Which companies will the US take a stake in?

{name}: liveodds

  • Anduril

    • Yes23%
    • No78%

    Volume $54.3K · Liquidity $878.7

  • Rigetti

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $27.8K · Liquidity —

  • TSMC

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $18.2K · Liquidity $405.9

  • Nvidia

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $17.8K · Liquidity $657

  • OpenAI

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $12.2K · Liquidity $473.5

  • Boeing

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $12K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Samsung Electronics

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $10.4K · Liquidity $423.4

  • GlobalFoundries

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $10.2K · Liquidity —

  • Anthropic

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $7.6K · Liquidity $636.8

  • Pfizer

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $7.1K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • TikTok US / Bytedance

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $6.5K · Liquidity $258.9

  • D-Wave

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity —

  • IonQ

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $5.3K · Liquidity $860

  • Palantir

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $5.2K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Eli Lilly

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $609.6

  • Lockheed Martin

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $892.3

  • Freeport-McMoRan

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Micron

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $885.8

  • Unusual Machines

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $96.9

  • SpaceX

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $256.2 · Liquidity $285

Regler for afgørelse

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Hver pris ligger mellem 0 og 1 dollar og kan læses som den sandsynlighed, markedet tillægger et udfald: 0,62 dollar svarer til cirka 62 %. Priserne ændrer sig med hver handel, så de afspejler markedsdeltagernes samlede vurdering – ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du tjekke reglerne for afgørelse ovenfor, handelsvolumen og likviditeten. Risikér kun penge, du har råd til at tabe.

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