Pulitika Prediction Markets
Mga halalan, batas at kaganapang pampulitika ayon sa pagpepresyo ng market.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Ang presyo mula $0 hanggang $1 ay maaaring basahin bilang posibilidad: ang $0.62 ay humigit-kumulang 62%. Pagtataya ito ng merkado, hindi garantiya. Suriin ang mga tuntunin, volume, at liquidity bago mag-trade.
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
December 31: 52%
24h vol $26.4K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
No: 94%
24h vol $26.3K · Ends Dis 1, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $25K · Ends Nob 1, 2026
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola: 73%
24h vol $23.3K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?
120-139: 57%
24h vol $23K · Ends Okt 13, 2026
Saudi airspace closed by...?
December 31: 20%
24h vol $21.3K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Olivia Chow: 66%
24h vol $21.2K · Ends Okt 27, 2026
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Roger Marshall (R): 64%
24h vol $20.4K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará
Lula: 83%
24h vol $20.2K · Ends Okt 26, 2026
NY-23 House Election Winner
Nick Langworthy (R): 96%
24h vol $18.1K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
OH-14 House Election Winner
David Joyce (R): 95%
24h vol $16.5K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Trump out as President before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $13.9K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-24: 41%
24h vol $12.4K · Ends Okt 28, 2026
Florida Governor Election Winner
Byron Donalds (R) : 79%
24h vol $12.2K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Texas Governor Election Winner
Greg Abbott (R): 79%
24h vol $12K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
November 30: 57%
24h vol $11.6K · Ends Nob 30, 2026
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le Pen: 90%
24h vol $11.3K · Ends Abr 19, 2027
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026: 46%
24h vol $10.7K · Ends Dis 31, 2026
Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo
Candidate U: 50%
24h vol $10.4K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends Nob 1, 2026
HI-02 House Election Winner
Jill Tokuda (D): 96%
24h vol $9.8K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
December 31: 25%
24h vol $9.5K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
47–49 and 193–207: 25%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
WI-05 House Election Winner
Scott Fitzgerald (R): 94%
24h vol $9.3K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Steve Witkoff: 42%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
200+: 27%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Okt 16, 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad
Lula: 67%
24h vol $8.8K · Ends Okt 26, 2026
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D): 62%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 94%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends Hul 1, 2027
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?
↓ 7%: 50%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends Nob 1, 2026
Alabama Governor Election Winner
Tommy Tuberville (R): 95%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?
December 31: 73%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
No Meeting by December 31: 51%
24h vol $7.7K · Ends Dis 31, 2026
Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?
Oil ≥ $80; R Senate: 30%
24h vol $7.7K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
No: 93%
24h vol $7.7K · Ends Nob 1, 2026
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Chris Pappas (D): 89%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?
December 31: 39%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes: 76%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Idaho Senate Election Winner
Jim Risch (R): 95%
24h vol $7K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
NY-24 House Election Winner
Claudia Tenney (R): 97%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends Nob 4, 2026