Pulitika Prediction Markets
Mga halalan, batas at kaganapang pampulitika ayon sa pagpepresyo ng market.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Ang presyo mula $0 hanggang $1 ay maaaring basahin bilang posibilidad: ang $0.62 ay humigit-kumulang 62%. Pagtataya ito ng merkado, hindi garantiya. Suriin ang mga tuntunin, volume, at liquidity bago mag-trade.
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep: 62%
24h vol $973.6K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
No Hormuz Agreement: 88%
24h vol $967.3K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
October 12: 100%
24h vol $773.9K · Ends Okt 31, 2026
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 12: 99%
24h vol $758K · Ends Okt 31, 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 40%
24h vol $735K · Ends Abr 19, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?
340-359: 60%
24h vol $536.2K · Ends Okt 13, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 67%
24h vol $365.3K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 18%
24h vol $336.9K · Ends Nob 8, 2028
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 45%
24h vol $333.9K · Ends Okt 28, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 3%
24h vol $266.9K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 87%
24h vol $263.3K · Ends Okt 26, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $223.6K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?
40-64: 99%
24h vol $213.5K · Ends Okt 12, 2026
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance: 23%
24h vol $197.7K · Ends Nob 8, 2028
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia: 62%
24h vol $158.3K · Ends Okt 25, 2026
Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D): 63%
24h vol $130.3K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party: 91%
24h vol $123.9K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 86%
24h vol $111.1K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
No Hormuz Agreement: 83%
24h vol $110.3K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?
220-239: 25%
24h vol $99.7K · Ends Okt 16, 2026
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%
24h vol $90.9K · Ends Nob 8, 2028
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
24h vol $75.3K · Ends Ene 1, 2029
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $72.5K · Ends Ene 1, 2029
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
24h vol $66.6K · Ends Hul 1, 2027
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
24h vol $66.2K · Ends Ene 1, 2029
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra: 96%
24h vol $64.6K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $62.4K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No: 94%
24h vol $61.1K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No: 68%
24h vol $58.2K · Ends Ago 1, 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $57.2K · Ends Okt 26, 2026
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31, 2027: 67%
24h vol $55.7K · Ends Hul 1, 2027
Saudi airspace closed by...?
December 31: 20%
24h vol $51.6K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
No: 77%
24h vol $49.8K · Ends Nob 1, 2026
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
June 30, 2027: 61%
24h vol $46.7K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31: 17%
24h vol $45.9K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Chiang Wan-an: 65%
24h vol $45.9K · Ends Nob 29, 2026
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 28%
24h vol $45.4K · Ends Ene 1, 2029
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party: 64%
24h vol $45.1K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?
No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate: 31%
24h vol $44.4K · Ends Nob 4, 2026
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 2027: 22%
24h vol $38.7K · Ends Hul 1, 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $37.5K · Ends Nob 1, 2026
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 31: 55%
24h vol $34.1K · Ends Dis 31, 2026
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro: 72%
24h vol $32.2K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Aleksandar Vučić: 63%
24h vol $31.8K · Ends Okt 26, 2026
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $30.8K · Ends Ene 1, 2029
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
December 31: 55%
24h vol $30.3K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $30.1K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez Feijóo: 80%
24h vol $29.9K · Ends Abr 1, 2028