Hoppa till innehållet

How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?

{name}: odds i realtid

  • <400k

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $731.2 · Liquidity $223.3

  • 475k to 500k

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $670.1 · Liquidity $171.6

  • 400k to 425k

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $558.4 · Liquidity $319.4

  • 575k+

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $492.6 · Liquidity $136.6

  • 525k to 550k

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $384.7 · Liquidity $156.8

  • 450k to 475k

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume $379.8 · Liquidity $146.3

  • 500k to 525k

    • Yes16%
    • No85%

    Volume $318.3 · Liquidity $132

  • 425k to 450k

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $267.1 · Liquidity $168.9

  • 550k to 575k

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $207 · Liquidity $242.2

Regler för hur utfallet avgörs

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

Så tolkar du oddsen

Varje pris ligger mellan 0 och 1 dollar och kan tolkas som den sannolikhet marknaden tillskriver ett utfall: 0,62 dollar motsvarar ungefär 62 %. Priserna ändras vid varje affär, så de speglar marknadsdeltagarnas samlade bedömning och är ingen garanti. Innan du handlar bör du kontrollera reglerna ovan för hur utfallet avgörs, handelsvolymen och likviditeten. Riskera bara pengar du har råd att förlora.

Sannolikhetskalkylatorer · Ordlista · Gratis kurser