Tech Prediction Markets
AI, produktlanseringar och milstolpar hos teknikjättarna.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Varje pris ligger mellan 0 och 1 dollar och kan tolkas som den sannolikhet marknaden tillskriver ett utfall: 0,62 dollar motsvarar ungefär 62 %. Priserna ändras vid varje affär, så de speglar marknadsdeltagarnas samlade bedömning och är ingen garanti. Innan du handlar bör du kontrollera reglerna ovan för hur utfallet avgörs, handelsvolymen och likviditeten. Riskera bara pengar du har råd att förlora.

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
24h vol $124.9K · Ends 1 jan. 2029

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $104.8K · Ends 1 jan. 2029

Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 30: 98%
24h vol $69K · Ends 1 dec. 2026

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 28%
24h vol $67.5K · Ends 1 jan. 2029

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 22%
24h vol $58.1K · Ends 1 jan. 2030

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $55.6K · Ends 1 jan. 2029

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 24%
24h vol $54.7K · Ends 1 jan. 2029

Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 84%
24h vol $50.5K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 69%
24h vol $36.1K · Ends 31 okt. 2026

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
24h vol $22.5K · Ends 1 jan. 2029

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Google: 43%
24h vol $20.9K · Ends 31 dec. 2026

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 95%
24h vol $17.8K · Ends 31 dec. 2026

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Alphabet: 62%
24h vol $16.1K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 96%
24h vol $12.7K · Ends 1 nov. 2026

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 28%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends 1 jan. 2029

Gemini Argon released by...?
November 30: 94%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends 1 dec. 2026

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Viking Therapeutics: 14%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Microsoft: 33%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Gemini Argon released on...?
October 13: 39%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 1 nov. 2026

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+: 31%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 19%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 1 nov. 2026

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 55%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends 1 jan. 2028

Anthropic lab leak by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends 1 juli 2027

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 23%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends 1 jan. 2030

OpenAI resumes training on...?
Not resumed by October 20: 81%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 21 okt. 2026

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 90%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends 31 dec. 2026

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
Anthropic: 90%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 1 nov. 2026

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?
OpenAI: 79%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026: 18%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No: 86%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
Google: 68%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 31 okt. 2026

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
45%+: 89%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 1 juli 2027

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 77%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+: 35%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
Dolly Parton: 58%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1 apr. 2027

3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 88%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1 nov. 2026

GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 96%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends 20 nov. 2026

AI bubble burst by...?
June 30, 2027: 19%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027: 59%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 1 jan. 2028

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
40%+: 90%
24h vol $2K · Ends 30 juni 2027

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 66%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 1 jan. 2028

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 1: 90%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 1 nov. 2026

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
Company A: 50%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 31 okt. 2026

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Other: 50%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 31 okt. 2026

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 64%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+: 81%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
November 30, 2026: 82%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 1 juli 2027

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 76%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

