Lume Prediction Markets
Geopolitică și evenimente globale.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Fiecare preț variază între 0 și 1 dolar și poate fi interpretat ca probabilitatea pe care piața o atribuie unui rezultat: 0,62 dolari înseamnă aproximativ 62%. Prețurile se schimbă cu fiecare tranzacție, așa că reprezintă o estimare colectivă, nu o garanție. Înainte de a tranzacționa, verifică regulile de stabilire a rezultatului de mai sus, volumul tranzacțiilor și lichiditatea și riscă doar bani pe care îți permiți să îi pierzi.
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 42%
24h vol $465.5K · Ends 19 apr. 2027
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $393.7K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 47%
24h vol $236.3K · Ends 28 oct. 2026
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 87%
24h vol $185.8K · Ends 26 oct. 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $153.8K · Ends 26 oct. 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 26%
24h vol $146.8K · Ends 3 ian. 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 15: 97%
24h vol $122.6K · Ends 31 dec. 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $78.3K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 8%
24h vol $74.1K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
24h vol $65K · Ends 1 iul. 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 46%
24h vol $44.1K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 13%
24h vol $30.9K · Ends 31 dec. 2026
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $27.9K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $26.3K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
24h vol $22K · Ends 1 iul. 2027
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 21%
24h vol $21.2K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 76%
24h vol $20.6K · Ends 4 nov. 2026
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $20.3K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 25%
24h vol $15.3K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 36%
24h vol $14.6K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 13: 100%
24h vol $14.4K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
No meeting by December 31, 2027: 83%
24h vol $12.8K · Ends 1 ian. 2028
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
UNRWA: 9%
24h vol $12K · Ends 1 apr. 2028
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person L: 50%
24h vol $11K · Ends 1 mar. 2027
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 78%
24h vol $10.6K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 28%
24h vol $9.7K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 88%
24h vol $9.7K · Ends 31 dec. 2026
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Druzkhivka: 36%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 96%
24h vol $8.8K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $8.4K · Ends 26 oct. 2026
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
No: 95%
24h vol $8.2K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 34%
24h vol $8.1K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by...?
Yes: 63%
24h vol $7.9K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 77%
24h vol $7.9K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Other: 50%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends 1 mar. 2027
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
No Next Chancellor before 2028: 62%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends 1 ian. 2028
Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
December 31: 25%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends 31 dec. 2026
Will Iran target Iraq by...?
October 15: 52%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026?
3: 43%
24h vol $6K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Remain 40–60%: 64%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends 20 oct. 2026
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 80%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
June 30, 2027: 49%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 96%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
No: 97%
24h vol $5K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 86%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends 30 nov. 2026
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
Yes: 58%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 88%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends 26 oct. 2026