Economie Prediction Markets
Dobânzi, inflație, date despre piața muncii și evenimente macro.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Fiecare preț variază între 0 și 1 dolar și poate fi interpretat ca probabilitatea pe care piața o atribuie unui rezultat: 0,62 dolari înseamnă aproximativ 62%. Prețurile se schimbă cu fiecare tranzacție, așa că reprezintă o estimare colectivă, nu o garanție. Înainte de a tranzacționa, verifică regulile de stabilire a rezultatului de mai sus, volumul tranzacțiilor și lichiditatea și riscă doar bani pe care îți permiți să îi pierzi.
September Inflation US - Monthly
0.6%: 50%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends 15 oct. 2026
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
>5.0%: 80%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends 21 ian. 2027
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
2.5 - 3.0M: 26%
24h vol $4K · Ends 31 dec. 2026
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.8M+: 55%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?
No: 97%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 77%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 31 dec. 2026
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
3.50% to 3.99%: 53%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 9 ian. 2027
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 56%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 27 ian. 2027
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 59%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 83%
24h vol $2K · Ends 28 oct. 2026
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 54%
24h vol $2K · Ends 29 ian. 2028
JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026
7.4M+: 33%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 3 nov. 2026
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9%: 61%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 11 ian. 2027
Spotify Monthly Active Users above __ in Q3?
770M: 100%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 22 oct. 2026
2026 World GDP Growth
3.1%: 31%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1 mai 2027
October Unemployment Rate
4.2%: 37%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 6 nov. 2026
Core CPI YoY - September 2026
2.4%: 42%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 15 oct. 2026
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%): 73%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 1 feb. 2027
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%: 96%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 1 feb. 2027
Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change: 90%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends 24 oct. 2026
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 59%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple: 69%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.55%: 71%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 76%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 5 nov. 2026
People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
No Change: 89%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 31 dec. 2026
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Yes: 69%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 1 ian. 2027
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
No Change: 53%
24h vol $1K · Ends 9 dec. 2026
Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 89%
24h vol $904.7 · Ends 5 nov. 2026
Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 50%
24h vol $875.3 · Ends 18 dec. 2026
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
4.3-4.6%: 71%
24h vol $853 · Ends 21 oct. 2026
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.70%: 41%
24h vol $824.3 · Ends 1 nov. 2026
EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
30M+: 96%
24h vol $744.2 · Ends 1 nov. 2026